Since January, I have been approached by investors and projects owners alike who are looking to get projects funded or deals flowing. At the same time, I have been trying to estimate using available data the gap between infrastructure and energy funding. The figure we have been using is $250 billion a year between now and 2025. Given that the African population is set to double between now and 2050, we can expect that figure to be in the trillions unless the continent finds a way to successfully develop and fund energy projects to universally guarantee electricity access and infrastructure expansion.
Over the past few months, I have made a couple of observations of which the
most prominent is that not all deals are made equal. Many investors want
renewable projects but only deals above a certain size - $2 million is too
small, for example, for many larger investors though this project size timeline
is much shorter and can bring immediate impact. A project upwards of $2 billion
is more attractive in terms of funding returns but the timeline to project
completion could be up to a decade. Overall, there is a hesitancy to engage in
hydrocarbon projects even though there are about a dozen markets actively
touting their blocks, which, in oil and gas hotspots, could be easily tied into
existing infrastructure.
Given the enormous funding gap, I truly believe there is an opportunity to
revolutionize how projects are funded. My thesis is that more African energy
projects should be crowdfunded either in fiat or digital currency and
non-fungible tokens (NFTs) to ensure that these projects get developed,
especially the smaller ones.
This could work in two ways. Firstly, through crowdfunding debt. A project
needs to raise debt for a project to start. All agreements and feasibility
studies have been completed and the project has a 30-year term agreed with the
government. Investors can loan the project money with a fixed percentage of
return over a two-to-three-year period. The project gets funded, and investors
get a great return on their money. Some projects could deliver up to 30% return
if successful.
Secondly, through crowdfunding equity. A project needs to raise a percentage equity
funding to attract larger institutions who will structure and loan the rest.
The owners of the project have already invested all their working capital into
completing pre-feasibility studies and there is little scope of sovereign
guarantees due to historical mismanagement of funds. Investors can crowdfund to
own an equity stake in the project and make the project more attractive to
institutions. Equity owners later receive annual dividends over the lifespan of
the project. With off take agreements in place from the beginning of the
project, this could make the deal even sweeter.
Neither of the above is revolutionary as both strategies are often employed in
the start-up scene. However, given the investment gap and how few Africans have
a stake in their own energy futures, this could prove an interesting theory.
Then, in my opinion, I started to get a bit creative. I’ve been paying a little
attention to crypto, blockchain, web3 and NFTs. I am not an expert by any means
and the NFT pump mostly disinterested me until I started to hear about
real-world utility. NFTs can be used to prove authenticity and ownership, and
this has instant utility in the world of event ticket reselling and luxury
fashion. A few weeks ago, I read a few articles about the tokenization of real
estate in Miami whereby investors could “mint” a real-estate token giving them
part ownership of the building. There must be an analogue linking of the deed
to the token but after that point, the token is on the blockchain and can be
transferred to future owners. In this respect, the barrier to entry is much
lower. Instead of finding a 10% deposit for an apartment, real-estate NFTs
could be minted for as little as the creator sets it at.
Could this be applied to African energy projects? I think so!
Let’s look at the above scenarios with a web3 lens such as energy asset NFT –
debt. In this regard, the project raises capital via a cryptocurrency. Ethereum
based technology makes sense, especially Polygon or Solana. Investors mint an
energy debt NFT in order to raise capital for the project. NFT holders are
rewarded through holding the NFT throughout the debt term by earning additional
cryptocurrency interest known as distribution. The NFT can be sold at any point
to a new owner on the blockchain and the sale can also trigger smart contracts
ensuring a royalty to the project owner or the wider community where the
project is taking place.
Secondly, let’s look at energy asset NFT – equity. This is where things could
get interesting. If you tokenize a whole asset – such as a solar farm, oil
block, or biogas plant - it means that anyone (with access to a smartphone,
WiFi and a cryptocurrency) can own part of a real-life asset. What I like about
this idea is the democratization of the energy asset ownership. It is not just
energy companies, finance institutions, governments that get to get to own our
infrastructure but anyone including everyday Africans and those in the
diaspora. While NFTs cannot pay a dividend as they only prove ownership, the
value of the NFT will naturally rise over time as a project comes online and
starts to cashflow. Owning 1,000 tokens of an oil block pre-production will
become far more valuable when the asset is producing, especially at $100 per
barrel. Token owners can be rewarded in cryptocurrency or fiat when
distributions are paid out.
I think the key thing here is transparency in ownership and transparency which
sets the continent up for long-term success. If token holders are also
constituents in the project vicinity, it brings an additional layer or
accountability and governance. An NFT could contain voting rights, and future
sales generate royalties that are directed back into the local community.
By Kelly-Ann Mealia
Source: APO Group on behalf of Energy Capital
& Power.
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